We develop Hawkes models in which events are triggered through self as well as cross-excitation. We examine whether incorporating cross-excitation improves the forecasts of extremes in asset returns compared to only self-excitation. The models are applied to US stocks, bonds and dollar exchange...

Financial stability is the key objective that sustains and empowers investments and economic groth, or scatters the opportunities when lacking. As growth translates to profitability, and profitability is dependent upon solvalibility, the need for a deep knowledge of all potential risks surfaces....