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In this paper, we derive a modification of a forward-looking Taylor rule, which integrates two variables measuring the uncertainty of inflation and GDP growth forecasts into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model. We show that certainty-equivalence in New Keynesian models is a consequence of...
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The growth and deepening of financial markets entailed the expectation that the bank lending channel of monetary policy transmission would lose its importance. The paper explains why, on the contrary, the banking sector has become a major locus of origination and amplification of macro-financial...
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This paper investigates the optimal monetary policy response to a shock to collateral when policymakers act under … constrained consumers. Our results confirm the literature on model uncertainty with respect to a cost-push shock. Insuring against … model misspecification leads to a more aggressive policy response. The same is true for a shock to collateral. A preference …
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