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This chapter is on quantitative models of sovereign debt crises in emerging economies. We interpret debt crises broadly to cover all of the major problems a country can experience while trying to issue new debt, including default, sharp increases in the spread and failed auctions. We examine the...
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spreads, we use government bond yield data which provide a longer data history. We show that for the more recent sample period … 2008--2015, joint default probabilities based on CDS and bond yield data yield similar results. For the period 1987 …-2008, only the bond yield data can be used to shed light on European sovereign systemic stress. We also show that simple averages …
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This paper examines the relationship between CDS and bond markets in the context of the financial crisis by employing …-lag relation is found between the markets, in which changes in CDS premia consistently forecast changes in bond spreads. Moreover …, it was found less bond market reaction for an increase on the insurance premium to investment grade bonds …
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This paper investigates the relationship between credit and liquidity risk components in the UK interbank spread during the recent financial crisis and sheds light on the transmission mechanism of the quantitative easing (QE) carried out by the Bank of England on short term interest rates....
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