We investigate the interaction between inequality, leverage and financial crises using bivariate Granger causality tests for a sample of 13 European countries and the United States over the period 1975-2013. We also examine the relevance of other determinants of expansions in credit to income...

This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...

Nach dem Ausbruch der globalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise 2008 haben die G20-Staats- und Regierungschefs in verschiedenen Gipfelerklärungen umfassende Re-Regulierungen des Finanzsektors und den Abbau globaler Ungleichgewichte versprochen. Die vorliegende Studie untersucht, inwieweit diese...