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(CPS), Price of Crude Oil (POIL), Money Supply (MS) and Dow Jonews Industrial Average (DJIA) were the set of explanatory … Correction (VEC)model for the analysis. Based on the estimated Cointegration and the VEC analyses, the paper found that the …
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We develop a new targeted maximum likelihood estimation method that provides improved forecasting for misspecified linear autoregressive models. The method weighs data points in the observed sample and is useful in the presence of data generating processes featuring structural breaks, complex...
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