This paper proposes and evaluates several market-based measures for US and eurozone individual bank tail risk and banking system risk. We apply statistical extreme value analysis to the tails of bank equity prices to estimate the likelihood of individual institutions financial distress as well...

This paper tests the hypothesis that stress tests are primarily a function of the fundamental financial condition and operating environment of individual banks, rather than alternative adverse economic and financial scenarios imposed by regulators. We develop a novel early warning system based...

This paper develops a novel measure of systemic risk that combines mapping technology and regression methods. Self-organizing maps (SOM) and lasso logistic regressions are employed to estimate default probabilities for individual U.S. commercial banks from 2001 to 2017. Subsequently, these...

Using a hierarchical cluster analysis and considering a large range of harmonised banking indicators, this paper assesses the impact of the recent crisis on the fragmentation of the euro area banking system. Results show that the crisis has led to a growing heterogeneity of banking structures...

Asset encumbrance is a central concept in the context of banks’ liquidity crises, as it is associated with their capacity to obtain secured funding. This occasional paper summarises the work carried out by the task force on asset encumbrance, bringing together analyses by the ECB and those...

We offer micro-econometric evidence on the relationship between the banks' loan rejection rates and the creditworthiness of the banks' corporate customers in 2007 and 2009/10 based on a unique Danish firm- and bank-level dataset. We find lower acceptance rates for applications for bank loans...

Im vergangenen Jahrzehnt gingen beträchtliche Kapitalströme aus den entwickelten Volkswirtschaften mit einem starken Kreditwachstum in den Ländern des westlichen Balkans, der Türkei und den GUS einher. Dennoch konnten fast alle Länder der Region ungeachtet ihrer unterschiedlichen...

This paper discusses the role of state intervention for prevention, containment, and resolution of financial crises based mainly on the Korean experience during the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Crises in emerging market and developing economies tend to be more complicated than those faced by...

Capital inflows have an enormous importance in the financing of investment in emerging and transition economies. However short-term inflows, intermediated by the banking sector of the emerging economy, may be subject to early withdrawals. We model a situation where such withdrawals are motivated...

We study the effects of a unique lending program initiated by the Swedish government at the height of the financial crisis that allowed firms to suspend payment of all labor-related taxes and fees. Comprehensive administrative data on all Swedish firms show that firms borrowing from the program...