We provide robust evidence of deviations from the covered interest rate parity (CIP) relation since the onset of the financial crisis in August 2007. The CIP deviations exist with respect to several different dollar-denominated interest rates and exchange rate pairings of the dollar vis-à-vis...

It has been a puzzle why foreign firms obtain credit ratings by global rating agencies such as S&P or Moody's rather than from their home country's rating agencies even though the global raters typically assign lower credit ratings when these foreign firms issue bonds in their home currencies....

In this paper, we investigate short sale constraints' impact on the incidence of extreme stock market movements. The latter can be used to proxy for the likelihood of tail events like crashes and bubbles in a market and, thus, is a crucial measure of stock market stability. Since crashes and...

Short sellers are routinely blamed for destabilizing stock markets by exacerbating deviations from fundamental values. In response, regulators periodically impose short sale constraints aimed at preventing excessive stock market declines. One explanation is that policy makers regard short...

We analyse the extent to which prices in the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets reflect the same information on credit risk in the context of the European Monetary Union. The empirical analysis is based on the theoretical equivalence relation that should hold between the CDS...

We investigate the stock market crashes in China, Iceland, and the US in the 2007-2009 period. The bond stock earnings yield difference model is used as a prediction tool. Historically, when the measure is too high, meaning that long bond interest rates are too high relative to the trailing...

This paper examines the inter-linkages and long run integration of Indian economy with other economies of the world (US, Europe, Other Emerging markets and World economy) using standard indices of MSCI over the period Jan 2003 to July 2012. We also investigate Indian economy's response to recent...

We analyse the extent to which prices in the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets reflect the same information on credit risk in the context of the European Monetary Union. The empirical analysis is based on the theoretical equivalence relation that should hold between the CDS...

We provide a historical perspective focusing on Ziemba's experiences and research on the bond-stock earnings yield differential model (BSEYD) starting from when he first used it in Japan in 1988 through to the present in 2014. The model has called many but not all crashes. Those called have high...

The risks to global financial stability posed by recent defaults by government borrowers have, for the most part, been manageable. However, the dynamics underpinning the ad hoc arrangements for resolving sovereign defaults are changing. Public debt burdens in many advanced economies are set to...