The ISDA CDS standard model assumes a single flat hazard rate (default intensity) rather than a term structure of hazard rates. This assumption introduces biases into CDS spreads for empirical research after the CDS Big Bang. This paper is the first to document the biases and provide a simple...

Using both market-wide and firm-level illiquidity measures of the stock, bond, and CDS markets, we find that the co-movements of illiquidity across markets increase significantly during the recent global financial crisis. Moreover, the degree of co-movements remains significantly higher in the...

We augment a simple inventory model with new features of the post-crisis regulations to offer new predictions on the effects of post-crisis regulations on the over-the-counter markets. First, the increased capital requirements of Basel III lead to an overall increase in order rejection rates of...

In this paper, we study systemic risk in China using information from credit default swap (CDS) data of Chinese firms. We find a large time variation in CDS spreads. More importantly, firms’ CDS spreads co-move with each other and the first three principal components explain 94% of the...

This paper develops a systemic risk index for China (SRIC) using textual information from 26 leading newspapers in China. Our index measures the systematic risk from 21 topics relating to China’s economy and provides narratives of the sources of systemic risk. We examine the predictability of...