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While the long run relation between money and inflation is well established, empirical evidence on the adjustment to … volatility of the transmission from monetary pressure to inflation follows some structure, i.e., if the parameter regime can … state space model ; inflation ; money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003943488
financial conditions have some inflation forecasting ability over the monetary policy relevant two to three-year horizon during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999067
Low and unresponsive inflation has been termed a “puzzle.” The paper describes a formula for which these conditions … variability of forward long-term inflation. Its U.S. inflation forecasts are comparable to recognized leaders in accuracy with … potential applicability to international economies as well.Inflation Elasticity, the responsiveness of inflation to monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858878
We show that a .scal expansion by the core economies of the euro area would have a large and positive impact on periphery GDP assuming that policy rates remain low for a prolonged period. Under our preferred model speci.cation, an expansion of core government spending equal to one percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294265
fragility of leveraged firms in its pursuit of inflation-targeting interest rate policies. This paper develops a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425830
We provide comprehensive evidence of the widespread occurrence of inflation convergence between all countries of the … inflation benchmarks (the cross-sectional average, the inflation target of the European Central Bank, and the Maastricht … criterion), structural breaks, and a core inflation measure. Our main findings imply that further enlargement of the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011758407
We investigate drivers of Euro area inflation dynamics using a panel of regional Phillips curves and identify long …-run inflation expectations by exploiting the crosssectional dimension of the data. Our approach simultaneously allows for the … inclusion of country-specific inflation and unemployment-gaps, as well as time-varying parameters. Our preferred panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764910
We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break …-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector … autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to identify US and EA specific inflation expectations shocks. By modeling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255370
interpret the evolution of the central bank independence from the Great Inflation and during the Great Moderation – i.e. from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061682
analysis that explores the multi-dimensional aspects of inflation in the region, in particular the respective contribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718450