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This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial … volatility forecasting measures on future stock returns in four different periods (bear and bull markets). First we find clear … and robust empirical evidence that the implied idiosyncratic volatility is the best stock return predictor for every sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
. This study uses the Diebold and Yilmaz index model to analyze and measure volatility spillovers and interconnectedness … among APEC stock markets. The objective is to identify major transmitters of volatility spillovers and assess the magnitude … of different crisis cycles. The results show that the US is the major contributor (69.54%) to volatility spillovers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502815
We provide a historical perspective focusing on Ziemba's experiences and research on the bond-stock earnings yield differential model (BSEYD) starting from when he first used it in Japan in 1988 through to the present in 2014. The model has called many but not all crashes. Those called have high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057068
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664711
- and second-moment exchange rate exposure on individual firm value and the stock return volatility underlying exchange rate … equity financing cost. -- exchange rate exposure ; asymmetric currency exposure ; financial crises ; asymmetric volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743539
We document that the variation in market liquidity is an important determinant of momentum crashes that is independent of other known explanations surfaced on this topic. This relationship is driven by the asymmetric large return sensitivity of short-leg of momentum portfolio to changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895183
Momentum is one of the largest and most pervasive market anomalies. However, despite a high mean and Sharpe ratio, momentum suffers from large negative skewness that comes from momentum crash periods. These crashes occur in times of both market stress and market rebound and thus variables that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026403
-AGARCH) model to examine both return and volatility spillovers from the USA (developed) and China (Emerging) towards eight emerging … calculate the optimal weights and hedge ratios for the stock portfolios. Our results reveal that both return and volatility … volatility was transmitted from the USA to the majority of the Asian stock markets during the Chinese stock market crash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388066
This study uses the BEKK-GARCH model to examine the return-and-volatility spillover between the world-leading markets … during the global financial crisis and the crash of the Chinese stock market. Regarding volatility spillover, the results … show the bidirectional volatility transmission between the US and the stock markets of Chile and Mexico during the global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309325
Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057742