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In this paper we analyze the link between stock market performance and macroeconomic performance for a large number of countries. We study the short-run and long-run relationships and find that stock market returns do not coherently predict future macroeconomic changes for the majority of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051552
We empirically analyze asset price boom-bust cycles over a long-run period of 1896-2014 for the U.S., the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. We focus on macro-financial linkages to understand if these are common phenomena during financial crises, or if the linkage was simply amplified during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446571
A financial crisis is an event of sudden information acquisition about the collateral backing short-term debt in credit markets. When investors see a financial crisis coming, however, they react by more intensively acquiring information about firms in stock markets, revealing those that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835712
Even though a random walk process is from a statistical point of view not predictable, some movements can be correlated with specific events concerning other variables. Then, predictable patterns may arise being dependent on this joint event. There is evidence given that equity price busts being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009241516
This paper examines the long-term relationship between BRICS and US stock markets by employing the cointegration technique and Granger causality to investigate the cointegration and causality direction in the capital markets. The impulse response function it is also employed to evaluate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917520
We use wavelet analysis to examine the impact of macro-news announcements on the stock-bond correlation. Significant announcement effects appear after controlling for the recent financial crisis, with a link between the speed of reaction and the timing of announcements, with early released news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919223
This paper analyses the dynamic transmission mechanism of volatility spillovers between key global financial indicators and G20 stock markets. To examine the volatility spillover relations a bivariate GARCH-BEKK model, which captures volatility spillovers, is combined with complex network...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306657
We take advantage of the historical onetime event of the European sovereign debt crisis and investigate the impact of European sovereign downgrades and negative watches on the European government bond and stock market including the partial default of Greece in March 2012. Results are based on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075599
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the US Federal Reserve almost doubled its balance sheet by adding $3 trillion of assets (13% of GDP) in the space of three months, constituting the most aggressive unconventional monetary policy on record. We show that these actions had a substantial effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831878