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world with liquidity crises and strategic default, we model a contracting game between international lenders and a country … reserves if the probability of liquidity shocks is high enough; however the cost of debt increases in reserves when the lenders … anticipate that the country has an incentive to default after a liquidity shock. Indeed, in the event of such a shock, we show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132969
world with liquidity crises and strategic default, we model a contracting game between international lenders and a country … probability of liquidity shocks is high enough; however the cost of debt increases in reserves when the lenders anticipate that … the country has an incentive to default after a liquidity shock. Indeed, we show that the country may choose to retain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125687
We study sovereign external debt crises over the past 200 years, with a focus on creditor losses, or "haircuts". Our sample covers 327 sovereign debt restructurings with external private creditors over 205 default spells since 1815. Creditor losses vary widely (from none to 100%), but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014557831
This chapter surveys recent research on international financial crises. A financial crisis is characterized by a sudden, dramatic outflow of financial resources from an economy with an open capital account. This outflow may be primarily driven by the expectation of a large nominal devaluation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025374
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011668416
This paper investigates the link between financial crises in developing countries and the variation of bank deposits in offshore financial centers. Using both a two-way fixed effects and a stacked difference-in-differences estimator, we find that after three years since the beginning of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355185
The financial crisis that has been wreaking havoc in markets across the world since August 2007 had its origins in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025173
Ausgelöst durch das Zusammentreffen niedriger Zinsen in reichen Ländern und einem hohen Finanzierungsbedarf für Infrastruktur in vielen ärmeren Ländern befindet sich die Verschuldung der Länder des Globalen Südens seit Jahren auf einem dramatisch hohen Niveau. Hohe Schuldendienstzahlungen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155264
This chapter is on quantitative models of sovereign debt crises in emerging economies. We interpret debt crises broadly to cover all of the major problems a country can experience while trying to issue new debt, including default, sharp increases in the spread and failed auctions. We examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024275
How do financial markets respond to concerns over debt sustainability and the level of public debt in emerging markets? We introduce a measure of debt sustainability – the difference between the debt stabilizing primary balance and the primary balance – in an otherwise standard spread...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080852