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I examine the profitability of three simple foreign exchange technical trading rules (moving average, momentum, and relative strength index) before, during and after the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. The overall findings reveal that these technical indicators could produce statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851671
returns. Our results suggest that the decomposition model produces higher forecast and directional accuracy than any of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235
We combine recent developments on extracting jumps from high frequency stock index data with the literature on option pricing with time varying volatility to model S&P 500 index returns from 2005. We compare the fit of several GARCH models, with and without jumps, from the historical return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975097
In this study, we examine whether sell-side security analysts gain access to value relevant information through political connections. We measure analysts' political connections based on political contributions at the brokerage house level. We argue that if brokerages are able to obtain private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973465
Heckman self-selection model to control for selection bias. Finally, we find that analyst silence, which happens after visits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219236
earnings forecast revisions were significantly stronger and more persistent during than outside the crisis. We conclude that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102335
We use the copula approach to study the structure of dependence between sell-side analysts' consensus recommendations and subsequent security returns, with a focus on asymmetric tail dependence. We match monthly vintages of I/B/E/S recommendations for the period January to December 2011 with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026393
This paper investigates how the network of relationships between dealers shapes their trading behavior in the corporate bond market. We show that dealers tend to provide liquidity during periods of distress to the counterparties with whom they have the strongest tie. However, highly connected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004863
The global financial crisis triggered a vast number of new laws and regulations at international level, including initiatives that can be classified as "soft law". The legitimacy and efficacy of these new norms are subject to intensive academic and political debates. At the same time, soft law...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903436
As a response to multiple financial shocks, international standards have disappointed. Consensus-seeking has stifled innovation, perpetuating outdated regulatory concepts at a time of rapid market change. Different forces are at work now. Markets are complex and idiosyncratic; they may not be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910271