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Post-compulsory schooling of youth in Turkey during the Great Recession: a case of pro-cyclical enrollment

Demirci, Murat; Poyraz, Meltem - 2021

The impact of recessions on school enrollment is ambiguous. On one hand, recessions might increase the likelihood of enrollment due to decreasing opportunity costs of attending school. On the other hand, recessions might discourage enrollment due to reductions households have in funds available...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625119

The dynamics of business investment following banking crises and normal recessions

Jannsen, Nils - 2015

I empirically analyze the dynamics of business investment following normal recessions (declines in business investment that are not associated with banking crises) and banking crises. Using a panel of 16 advanced economies, I find evidence for significant non-linear trend reversion or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518645

Different no more : country spreads in advanced and emerging economies

Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Pfeifer, Johannes; … - 2020

Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762

Credit, asset prices and business cycles at the global level

Dées, Stéphane - 2015

This paper assesses the role of financial variables in real economic fluctuations, in view of analysing the link between financial cycles and business cycles at the global level. A Global VAR modelling approach, which has been proved suitable for modelling country or regional linkages, is used...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476350

Global Recession to Global Recovery : Macro and Micro Dynamics of Trade, Finance and Investment

Chugan, Pawan K. - 2012

It is well known fact that all good things, as also bad things, come to an end and business cycles pass through good and bad economic times. Economically 2010 was a year of transition from economic recession to recovery. Economies were improving in some countries and industries were showing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110884

China's emergence in the world economy and business cycles in Latin America

Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2012

world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627525

International transmission of financial stress : evidence from a GVAR

Dovern, Jonas; Roye, Björn van - 2013

We analyze the international transmission of financial stress and its effects on economic activity. We construct country specific monthly financial stress indexes (FSI) using dynamic factor models from 1970 until 2012 for 20 countries. We show that there is a strong co-movement of the FSI during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761846

Credit market frictions and sudden stops

Imura, Yuko - 2014

Financial crises in emerging economies in the 1980s and 1990s often entailed abrupt declines in foreign capital inflows, improvements in trade balance, and large declines in output and total factor productivity (TFP). This paper develops a two-sector small open economy model wherein...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426139

Credit and growth after financial crises

Takáts, Előd; Upper, Christian - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782580

Boom-bust cycles in middle income countries : facts and explanation

Tornell, Aaron; Westermann, Frank - 2002

In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have witnessed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410453

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