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We contribute to the literature on the international propagation of uncertainty shocks with a Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model that quantifies the spillover effects of uncertainty shocks in the US on to real equity prices of 32 advanced and emerging countries (besides the US). In this...
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This paper constructs a global tail risk (GTR) index and examines the role of GTR in predicting the volatility of … international stock markets. Our empirical results emphasize that GTR contains valuable information to predict the stock volatility … improve the forecasting accuracy of international stock market volatility, especially considering the time-varying regime …
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Predicting volatility is a must in the finance domain. Estimations of volatility, along with the central tendency … research is to analyze the influence of COVID-19 on the return and volatility of the stock market indices of the top 10 … volatility remains higher than in normal periods, signaling a bearish tendency in the market. The COVID variable, as an exogenous …
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