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closely related to the harshness of fiscal austerity. Cumulative multiplier estimates are found to vary in a range from 1.4 to … 2.1, depending on the data source used to identify the intensity of fiscal consolidation. Given these multiplier values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778844
The unchecked build-up of imbalances during the 2000s exposed the euro area to the risk of sudden stops. Such risk materialized in 2009-10 and its consequences were amplified by the absence of adequate institutions. Europe embarked on a thorough process of reforming its economic governance. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980035
We define the notion of 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the inverse of the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across several years to smooth for business cycle fluctuations. We apply this concept to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732193
We define the notion of 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across several years to smooth for business cycle fluctuations. We apply this concept to account for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008699018
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102258
The global economic and financial crisis has sparked an unprecedentedly large, generalized fiscal policy response in practically all major industrial and emerging economies, which will change the fiscal and macroeconomic landscapes for some time to come. This paper offers an overview of the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069707
In this paper we suggest that Eurozone countries face a policy trade-off among: 1) a common rule imposing co-movements in fiscal policy; 2) financial stability; and 3) financial integration. We provide empirical evidence documenting the existence of such a trade-off in the period characterized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533078
cycle further lowe ring the fiscal multiplier. Longer maturity debt leads to larger capital losses and lower Keynesian … further after a deficit financed stimulus package, eventually implying a cumulative Keynesian multiplier close to zero or even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226967
We show that fiscal multiplier estimations may be biased by movements in asset and credit markets, as they facilitate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011919730
This paper reviews the performance of the euro area since the euro's launch 20 years ago. It argues that the euro crisis has exposed existential flaws in the euro regime. Intra-area divergences and the corresponding buildup of imbalances had remained unchecked prior to the crisis. As those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894027