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The determination of trends and prediction of stock prices is one of the main tasks of the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and the RVI (Relative Volatility Index) indicators of the technical analysis. The research covers the sample representing stocks which are continually traded on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081699
This study aims to verify whether there are any macroeconomic variables that have significant power in predicting the dynamics of financial markets. In particular, we want to identify an econometric model that can guide the strategies of operators in building their investment portfolios. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075743
We show that three proxies for stock price informativeness, adjusted probability of information based trading (AdjPIN), price non-synchronicity and probability of information-based trading (PIN), decrease significantly due to an enlarged investor base after stock splits. The results are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015351
The battle between proponents of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and champions of behavioral finance has never been more pitched, and little consensus exists as to which side is winning or the implications for investment management and consulting. In this article, I review the case for and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038481
In this paper, a result for bivariate normal distributions (Sheppard, 1899) from statistics is transformed into a financial asset context in order to build a tool which could translate a correlation matrix into an equivalent probability matrix and vice versa. This way, the correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906897
In this paper I build a continuous time model of a complete financial market with $N$ heterogeneous agents whose constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) preferences differ in their level of risk aversion. I find that preference heterogeneity is able to replicate a high market price of risk and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936081
Classical quantitative finance models such as the Geometric Brownian Motion or its later extensions such as local or stochastic volatility models do not make sense when seen from a physics-based perspective, as they are all equivalent to a negative mass oscillator with a noise. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826182
Learning the pre limited liability value process of equity claims and its relationship to the stock price is an answer to the financial jeorpardy question when observed option prices are the answer being given by the market. Constant dollar equity holder values, prior to the imposition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004139
investigate the performance of a market timing strategy based on the search frequency of this word and compare it against random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005655
The concept of a market portfolio plays an important role in many financial theories and models. Knowledge of each asset's share of the invested capital markets is both useful information and a good starting point for investors considering the appropriate allocation to the asset. In our latest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006681