Komplexe Aktien- und Wechselkurstrajektorien werden im Rahmen eines nichtlinearen dynamischen makroökonomischen Modells mit träger Outputanpassung am Gütermarkt und heterogener Erwartungsbildung auf den Assetmärkten abgeleitet. Die Implikationen des Aufeinandertreffens von Chartisten und...

I present a model that provides a theoretical solution to the Lucas Puzzle using Financial Efficiency, which is a time-varying component of TFP. The model predicts that a financially underdeveloped economy is to benefit from financial integration through FDI capital inflow only if it experiences...

In recent years, especially in the aftermath of the global financial meltdown, the performance of South Asia capital markets has attracted the attention of the researchers and investors across the globe. The resilient shown provides the impetus to examine the efficient market hypothesis in these...

Nordic historians have asserted for a long time that in the Nordic countries only few people, if any, perceived increased threats of war prior to the World War II outbreak. This would explain, and possibly excuse, why their governments did not mobilize their armies until it was too late. This...

In recent years, especially in the aftermath of the global financial meltdown, the performance of South Asia capital markets has attracted the attention of the researchers and investors across the globe. The resilient shown provides the impetus to examine the efficient market hypothesis in these...

The financial markets stylized facts, volatility and its relationship with returns tested empirically in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). ARMA- ARCH type models including two symmetric conditional hetroscedastic models; ARMA (1, 1) - ARCH (1) and ARMA (1, 1) - GARCH (1, 1) and two asymmetric...

Factorial moments are convenient tools in nuclear physics to characterize the multiplicity distributions when phase-space resolution (Delta) becomes small. For uncorrelated particle production within Delta, Gaussian statistics holds and factorial moments Fq are equal to unity for all orders q....

We develop an adaptive learning game to rethink efficient markets. We use the stochastically stable state of this game, which is a mixed Nash equilibrium, to form an adaptive expectation model that provides an estimate of the confidence interval for prices on the next day. The estimate is most...

This paper investigates the predictability of asset prices among developed and emerging markets. Weekly and monthly stock market indices from developed and emerging market economies are analysed to check the validity of weak-form of Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) using various empirical...

Using event study methodology and GARCH family models, the paper investigates the effects of two terrorist incidents – the bomb attacks of 11th March 2004 in Madrid and 7th July 2005 in London – on equity sectors. Significant negative abnormal returns are widespread across the majority of...