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This paper analyzes the forecasting performance of financial market data in comparison to other indicator groups to … evaluate the forecasting performance using a significance test. In addition, we investigate the stability of forecasting models …-term forecasting, especially for the US and longer forecast horizons. Nevertheless, the results indicate that the Great Recession was …
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forecasting volatility. We outline the genesis of this approach from similar models of turbulent flows in statistical physics and …
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econometrics and opened new possibilities to study complex economic and financial phenomena. Applications include risk measurement …, forecasting, assessment of policy effectiveness in macro, finance, marketing and monetary economics. …
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