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shocks. In a model that is capable of matching asset pricing moments, a short-lived shock that destroys a small fraction of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856397
subsequent recovery in the US. The Great Recession was mainly caused by a large demand shock and by the ZLB on the interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434680
Vector Autore-gression. First, we show, both in reduced form and when we identify a structural financial shock, that … contemporaneous output gap turns negative when we condition on a financial shock. The sign-switch suggests that the nature of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622302
Vector Autoregression. First, we show, both in reduced form and when we identify a structural financial shock, that variation … contemporaneous output gap turns negative when we condition on a financial shock. The sign-switch suggests that the nature of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487838
financial shock are time-varying and contingent on the state of the economy. They are of negligible importance in normal times …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279726
This paper mainly examines the effect of financial development on the recession, while controlling for potential recession factors. Using panel data of 129 countries spanning 1990-2010, we implemented "Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing", "Local Linear" and "Iteratively Reweighted Least...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012221855
The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009. During each of these episodes, annual real per capita global GDP contracted, and this contraction was accompanied by weakening of other key indicators of global economic activity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159612
We investigate the effects of financial development on recession while controlling for potential recession factors using data of about 129 countries covering the 1990-2010 period. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study examining this relationship using a plural and innovative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014318636
The two main empirical regularities regarding US postwar nominal and real business cycles are the Great Inflation and the Great Moderation. While the volatility of financial price variables also follows such pattern, financial quantity variables have experienced a continuous immoderation. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489592
Financial crises in emerging economies in the 1980s and 1990s often entailed abrupt declines in foreign capital inflows, improvements in trade balance, and large declines in output and total factor productivity (TFP). This paper develops a two-sector small open economy model wherein...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426139