We study the impact of ambiguity on two alternative institutions of financial intermediation in an economy where consumers face uncertain liquidity needs. The ambiguity the consumers experience is modeled by the degree of confidence in their additive beliefs. We analyze the optimal liquidity...

The authors use simulations within the BoC-GEM-FIN, the Bank of Canada's version of the Global Economy Model with financial frictions in both the demand and supply sides of the credit market, to investigate the macroeconomic implications of changing bank regulations on the Canadian economy....

FinTech is a new term combining finance and technology. The term did not exist until the end of 2014. Although there is agreement over what finance is, there is no agreed upon definition of technology. It changes with time. American sociologist Read Bain wrote in 1937 that technology includes...

We introduce two online backtest overfitting tools: BODT simulates the overfitting of seasonal strategies (typical of technical analysis), and TMST simulates the overfitting of econometric strategies (typical of academic journals). We show that econometric methods lend themselves to extreme...

With the exception of Bitcoin, there appears to be little or no literature on GARCH modeling of cryptocurrencies. This paper provides the first GARCH modeling of the seven most popular cryptocurrencies. Twelve GARCH models are fitted to each cryptocurrency and their fits are assessed in terms of...

In 2014, the domestic money market saw the onset of a new wave of crisis, manifesting itself in capital outflow, a world's record plunge of the Russian stock indices, the ruble's devaluation, the surge in the key interest rate and interest rates in the interbank lending market. It is external...

The asset management industry widely assumes that asset growth in a fund automatically follows superior performance. In this paper, we illustrate that while there is truth to this, it is not as straight forward as many would imagine. Performance is important, but is not sufficient to guarantee...

The majority of active Asian equity strategies claim to derive their value addition by focussing their skill on security selection. We investigate if empirically this is the most appropriate area for an active Asian manager to focus on, in comparison to focussing on asset allocation as the...

The False Strategy theorem tells us that the optimal outcome of an unknown number of historical simulations is right-unbounded — with enough trials, there is no Sharpe ratio sufficiently enough to reject the hypothesis that a strategy is false. Given the ease with which one can use a computer...