This study evaluates the sensitivity and robustness of the systemic risk measure, Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR), estimated using the vine copula and APARCH-DCC models. We compute the CoVaR for the two portfolios across fve allocation strategies. The novel vine copula captures the complex...

Aim/purpose - Owing to the huge risk occasioned by negative contagion effects associated with financial market linkages, markets participants and academia have continued to examine the capital market cross country interdependence at different levels. In this paper, we examined the causal...

This paper aims at verifying the nature of the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Brazil. From the theoretical point-of-view, although the prevailing view through which financial development generate direct impacts on economic growth, there are distinct positions....

Stockholders are faced with both macroeconomic uncertainty and uncertainty that is generated from fears. We develop a financial stress factor as a proxy for pessimism that operates through stockholders' expectations about the elevated market volatility and shocks the cross-section of stock...

I present evidence of systematically heterogeneous expectations, a violation of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis. I demonstrate that the expectations of different gender and wealth cohorts have different relative abilities to predict inflation, interest rates, unemployment, income, stock...

Crises in financial markets affect humans worldwide. Detailed market data on trading decisions reflect some of the complex human behavior that has led to these crises. We suggest that massive new data sources resulting from human interaction with the Internet may offer a new perspective on the...

This chapter provides an overview over the recently developed so called multifractal (MF) approach for modeling and forecasting volatility. We outline the genesis of this approach from similar models of turbulent flows in statistical physics and provide details on different specifications of...

We quantify all statements by major European politicians reported by Reuters during the August 2011 to December 2011 period and show that political communication significantly affects European stock and bond markets as well as the EUR-USD exchange rate. Communication with respect to Italy...

This paper examines empirically the nonlinear business cycle dynamics due to the presence of financial frictions. Using a threshold vector auto regression, the authors estimate the behavior of interest rate shocks in which a regime change occurs if the two respective threshold variables namely...