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The finance industry has grown. Financial markets have become more liquid. Information technology has improved. But have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content of market prices has not increased since 1960. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657611
The battle between proponents of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and champions of behavioral finance has never been more pitched, and little consensus exists as to which side is winning or the implications for investment management and consulting. In this article, I review the case for and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038481
We derive invariance relationships for a dynamic infinite-horizon model of market microstructure with risk-neutral informed trading,noise trading,marketmaking, and endogenous production of information. Invariance relationships for bet sizes and transaction costs are obtained under the assumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969746
We derive invariance relationships in a dynamic, infinite-horizon, equilibrium model of adverse selection with risk-neutral informed traders, noise traders, market makers, and with endogenous information production. The model solution depends on two state variables: stock price and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850268
Stock prices following earnings announcements have become more efficient. Prices on announcement dates incorporate more quickly earnings surprises, leading to the disappearance of post-announcement price drifts. Evidence suggests that trading frictions commonly associated with market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853003
We focus on the role of social media as a high-frequency, unfiltered mass information transmission channel and how its use for government communication affects the aggregate stock markets. To measure this effect, we concentrate on one of the most prominent Twitter users, the 45th President of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508898
We analyze how market fragmentation affects market quality of SME and other less actively traded stocks. Compared to large stocks, they are less likely to be traded on multiple venues and show, if at all, low levels of fragmentation. Concerning the impact of fragmentation on market quality, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464048
In 2008, AIG found itself on the brink of failure and required the Federal Reserve to step in with billions of dollars of taxpayer money. The causes of AIG's collapse have been described in numerous articles and official reports since then. Albeit some nuances, all analyzes point to AIG's credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031046
Do equity prices efficiently reflect fundamental information as the Efficient Markets Hypothesis suggests? The author challenges a widely held acceptance by financial academicians of the EMH. In a frictionless environment, information acquisition and trading would be costless, transaction prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229395
In recent years, especially in the aftermath of the global financial meltdown, the performance of South Asia capital markets has attracted the attention of the researchers and investors across the globe. The resilient shown provides the impetus to examine the efficient market hypothesis in these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009733681