Showing 1 - 10 of 2,886
This paper attempts a re-examination of the relationship between the output volatility and economic growth using an … integrated (HFI) and low financially integrated (LFI) country groups. Overall, the results indicate that output volatility as a … proxy of macroeconomic volatility has negative effect on economic growth. The results appear to be stronger when we include …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179618
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly …, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009309462
Following recent advances in the non-parametric realized volatility approach, we separately measure the discontinuous … volatility models. We analyze the distributional properties of the jump measures vis-à-vis the corresponding realized volatility … accuracy of high-frequency volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004411
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly …, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows … autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH), and stochastic volatility with jumps (SVJ) models. Our results are not due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047692
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose flexible methods that exploit recent developments in financial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025361
The first purpose of this paper is to assess the short-run forecasting capabilities of two competing financial duration models. The forecast performance of the Autoregressive Conditional Multinomial–Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACM-ACD) model is better than the Asymmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137525
to intermediate bond markets, as in March 2020. Although yield volatility explains most of the variation in Treasury … than predicted by yield volatility alone. This is consistent with the existence of occasionally binding constraints on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014393396
We propose several connectedness measures built from pieces of variance decompositions, and we argue that they provide natural and insightful measures of connectedness among financial asset returns and volatilities. We also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857383
This paper presents an analysis of the dynamic measures of volatility connectedness of major bank stocks in the US and … direction of the volatility connectedness was from the US banks towards the EU banks. However, once the financial crisis became … global in the last quarter of 2008, volatility connectedness became bi-directional. The surge in volatility connectedness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239322
We propose several connectedness measures built from pieces of variance decompositions, and we argue that they provide natural and insightful measures of connectedness among fi nancial asset returns and volatilities. We also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077121