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Bitcoin is the oldest and most widely established cryptocurrency network with the highest market capitalization among all cryptocurrencies. Although bitcoin (with lowercase b) is increasingly viewed as a digital asset belonging to a new asset class, the Bitcoin network (with uppercase B) is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839431
We present a dynamic Rational Expectations (RE) bubble model of prices with the intention to evaluate it on optimal investment strategies applied to Bitcoin. Our bubble model is defined as a geometric Brownian motion combined with separate crash (and rally) discrete jump distributions associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899594
This paper develops an analytical framework to explain how a liquidity shock or a shock to the aggregate haircut on collateralized assets amplifies financial crisis in a carry trade recipient country. The model allows roles for shocks to the size of a haircut, strategic behaviour across currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120097
We build an agent-based model to study how the interplay between low- and high- frequency trading affects asset price dynamics. Our main goal is to investigate whether high-frequency trading exacerbates market volatility and generates flash crashes. In the model, low-frequency agents adopt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243948
We investigate the effects of different regulatory policies directed towards high-frequency trading (HFT) through an agent-based model of a limit order book able to generate flash crashes as the result of the interactions between low- and high-frequency (HF) traders. We analyze the impact of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457384
We develop a parsimonious model of bubbles based on the assumption of imprecisely known market depth. In a speculative bubble, traders drive the price above its fundamental value in a dynamic way, driven by rational expectations about future price developments. At a previously unknown date, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393456
We introduce the Speculative Influence Network (SIN) to decipher the causal relationships between sectors (and/or firms) during financial bubbles. The SIN is constructed in two steps. First, we develop a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) of regime-switching between a normal market phase represented by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012557
We present an agent-based model (ABM) of a financial market with n 1 risky assets, whose price dynamics result from the interaction between rational fundamentalists and trend following imitative noise traders. The interactions and opinion formation of the noise traders are described by an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799633
I review the literature on financial speculation driven by belief disagreements from a macroeconomics perspective. To …-selling constraints, speculation can generate overvaluation and speculative bubbles. Leverage can substantially inflate speculative …, speculation induces procyclical asset valuation. When speculation affects the price of aggregate assets, it also influences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238441
Reviewing the definition and measurement of speculative bubbles in context of contagion, this paper analyses the DotCom bubble in American and European equity markets using the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed as on one hand as an econometrics explanation and on the other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887512