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This paper introduces a new tool to monitor economic and financial vulnerabilities in emerging-market economies. We obtain vulnerability indexes for several early warning indicators covering 26 emerging markets from 1990 to 2017 and use them to monitor the evolution of vulnerabilities before,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926066
. After the global crisis of 2008-2009, the world economy entered the era of restructuring. This article focuses on the … risks that a new leader will face in the process of shaping the world economy. The methods employed in the research include … combination of world financial system crises and general civilization problems. These new systemic risks for the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012168948
Data published in IMF country staff reports and International Financial Statistics (IFS) may differ for identical variables and, at times, users may be unaware of the reasons for these differences and lack the information needed to permit reconciliation. Such discrepancies stem principally from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318077
determinants of cross-border bank flows. Greater global risk aversion and expected financial market volatility seem to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013140116
During the recent financial crisis the linkages between banks, public finances and the real economy were one of the important issues. The feedback and cross effects have shown their importance, and evidenced the need for more complete models that include circular feedbacks, cross linkages and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048568
borrower country risk factors, as well as financial and monetary integration variables. The empirical analysis suggests that … global as well as country specific factors are significant determinants of cross-border bank flows. Greater global risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127639
IMF programs are often considered to carry a "stigma" that triggers adverse market reactions. We show that such a negative IMF effect disappears when accounting for endogenous selection into programs. To proxy for a country's access to financial markets, we use credit ratings and investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931328
sovereign risk factor, a European sovereign risk factor and a Financial intermediaries risk factor. Our main findings are as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
determinants of cross-border bank flows. Greater global risk aversion and expected financial market volatility seem to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991084
Developments in trade finance in 2020 were largely driven by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Twelve years after the great financial crisis of 2008-09, the issue of trade finance re-emerged as a matter of urgency. While the current pandemic-related crisis did not have a financial cause, one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429577