I explore the relationship between financial frictions and asset prices in a closed economy model, and study the implications for the leverage cycle of financial intermediaries. I develop a continuous-time dynamic macroeconomic model with heterogeneous agents and limited stock market...

We compute joint sovereign default probabilities as coincident systemic risk indicators. Instead of commonly used CDS spreads, we use government bond yield data which provide a longer data history. We show that for the more recent sample period 2008--2015, joint default probabilities based on...