With the external accounts problems reasonably solved, Brazil’s economic policy agenda is bound to be increasingly focused on fiscal issues. What makes the design of economic policy especially complex in this area is the fact that there are several superimposed and potentially conflicting...

In this paper, we present a disaggregated framework for the analysis of past and projected structural developments in the most relevant revenue and expenditure categories and the fiscal balance. The framework, in particular, distinguishes between the effects of discretionary fiscal policy and of...

Die zentrale finanzpolitische Aufgabe der kommenden Jahre wird die Konsolidierung der öffentlichen Haushalte sein. Auch nach Bewältigung der Rezession werden weiterhin "strukturelle" Defizite in einer Größenordnung von drei bis vier Prozent des Bruttoinlandsprodukts bestehen bleiben....

We propose and apply a new approach for analyzing the effects of fiscal policy using vector autoregressions. Unlike most of the previous literature this approach does not require that the contemporaneous reaction of some variables to fiscal policy shocks be set to zero or need additional...

In this article, I evaluate the conventional tax-spend hypothesis versus the fiscal illusion hypothesis by analyzing quarterly data from 1959 to 2007 on U.S. federal revenues and expenditures within an error-correction framework. The findings suggest that (a) decreases in taxes do not...

European Union member countries are currently exposed to negative implications of the economic and debt crisis. Questions associated with disputable implications of fiscal incentives seem to be contrary to the crucial need of the effective fiscal consolidation that is necessary to reduce...

Should fiscal consolidations be front-loaded or proceed at a more steady pace, and how does this affect growth? We make an attempt to address this question using a three-step methodology. First, we modify a standard regression of growth on consolidation size to allow speed to affect the...

As the COVID-19 pandemic has shaped public policies and government finances, it has also influenced the topics that public finance economists are researching. Because the 2020 International Institute of Public Finance (IIPF) Congress featured papers that were submitted prior to the start of the...