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This paper analyzes different government debt relief programs in the European Monetary Union. I build a model and study different options ranging from debt relief to the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). The analysis reveals the following: First, patient countries repay debt, while impatient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499402
Sovereigns' public capital and fiscal constraint influence sovereign debt crises and resolution. We compile a dataset on public expenditure composition around restructurings with private external creditors. We show that during restructurings, public investment (i) experiences severe decline and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222482
Contingent sovereign debt can create important welfare gains. Nonetheless, there is almost no issuance today. Using hand-collected archival data, we examine the first known case of large-scale use of state-contingent sovereign debt in history. Philip II of Spain entered into hundreds of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359994
We analyse the international transmission of interest rates by focusing on the role of the accumulation of international reserves and on the financing of sovereign debt. An increase in foreign exchange reserves is expected to moderate the influence of U.S. interest rates. However, a high level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504452
An assessment is presented of whether Greece's current plight is a harbinger of similar adverse conditions likely to directly impact the United States in the intermediate- to long-term future.Long-term deficits projected for 2020 and beyond, under the assumption that the economy is in full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142255
The empirical literature on sovereign debt crises identifies the level of public debt (measured as a share of GDP) as a key variable to predict debt defaults and to determine sovereign market access. This evidence has led to the widespread use of (country-specific) debt thresholds to assess debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962136
Along time the European Union (EU) has been pointed as the most succeeded example of regional integration. Now, this example has been cruelly shaken by the EZ (Euro Zone) crisis, originating increasing doubts about the integration process. It is evident that the proposed solutions for attacking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515832
It is frequently argued that credit rating agencies (CRAs) have acted procyclically in their rating of sovereign debt in the European Monetary Union (EMU). They are believed to have under-rated sovereign risk in the early years of EMU, when integrated financial markets provided easier access to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006266
Debt in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) is at its highest level in half a century. In about nine out of 10 EMDEs, debt is higher now than it was in 2010 and, in half of the EMDEs, debt is more than 30 percentage points of gross domestic product higher. Historically, elevated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655299
In the face of high and rising debt vulnerabilities in low-income countries (LICs), the G20 Common Framework for Debt Treatments provides an important tool to facilitate debt restructurings, but its implementation has so far been hampered by delays and difficulties. Drawing also from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344553