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Structural VAR and Structural VEC models were estimated for Chile and Colombia, aiming at identifying fiscal policy shocks in both countries between 1990 and 2005. The impulse responses obtained allow the calculation of a peso-for-peso ($/$) effect on output of a shock to public spending and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110678
When in proxy-SVARs the covariance matrix of VAR disturbances is subject to exogenous, permanent, nonrecurring breaks that generate target impulse response functions (IRFs) that change across volatility regimes, even strong, exogenous external instruments can result in inconsistent estimates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495778
breaks, the study finds evidence of a cointegration relation between the government revenues and spending. The results did …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487675
negative long run relationship between the share of public consumption on GDP and the current account balance. As expected, the … variation of real public consumption produces an adverse accumulated response on the current account balance. Finally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012595472
of tax changes on consumption and savings; and 4) the effect of tax changes on labour market activities. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010242079
This paper evaluates a novel form of fiscal stimulus: a temporary cut in the rate of Value Added Tax (VAT). In December 2008, the UK cut the standard rate of VAT by 2.5 percentage points for 13 months in an effort to stimulate spending. We estimate the effect of the cut on prices and spending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381367
Using VAR analysis on US data, we show that unanticipated fiscal expansions boost private consumption and business … crowding-in of both consumption and entry can be generated only under very specific assumptions. In a static model with full … such that future profits are high enough to generate entry. However, consumption falls for conventional parameter values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339394
We empirically assess whether a usually expected negative response of private consumption and private investment to a … HP-based; and iii) the Hamilton (2018)-based. We find that: i) increases in government consumption have a Keynesian … effect on real per capita private consumption; ii) there is a positive effect of tax increases on private consumption when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504460
We review early evidence on how household consumption behavior has evolved over the pandemic and how different groups …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012318907
marginal utility of consumption of nondurable goods and services to the marginal utility of consumption of services from … long-run relationship between components of private consumption and public expenditure is then postulated. The application … of cointegration analysis to U.K. data supports the existence and uniqueness of such a long-run relationship, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073816