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At the zero lower bound (ZLB), expectations about the future path of monetary or fiscal policy are crucial. We model … expectations formation under level-k thinking, a form of bounded rationality introduced by García-Schmidt and Woodford (2019) and … from rational expectations models, such as the forward guidance and the reversal puzzle, or implausible large fiscal …
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substantially. We document this fact by comparing an easy-to-grasp expectations-based policy, unconventional fiscal policy, with a … consumption via managing inflation expectations based on the Euler equation. Unconventional fiscal policy uses trivial … announcements of future consumer-price increases to boost inflation expectations and consumption expenditure on impact. Instead …
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unconventional policies that aim to increase households' spending directly through managing their expectations. We first show … theoretically and empirically that higher in ation expectations increase households' consumption. We then design a difference … demand via managing expectations. Whereas unconventional fiscal policy increases households' expectations and spending …
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A standard model of activist macroeconomic policy derives a monetary reaction rule by assuming that governments have performance objectives, but are constrained by an augmented Phillips curve. In addition to monetary policy governments apply a variety of instruments to influence inflation and...
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