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This paper identiftes U.S. monetary and ftscal dominance regimes using machine learning techniques. The algorithms are trained and verifted by employing simulated data from Markov-switching DSGE models, before they classify regimes from 1968-2017 using actual U.S. data. All machine learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520524
This paper identifies U.S. monetary and fiscal dominance regimes using machine learning techniques. The algorithms are trained and verified by employing simulated data from Markov-switching DSGE models, before they classify regimes from 1968-2017 using actual U.S. data. All machine learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315244
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472113
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580207
This paper analyzes the sustainability of fiscal debt contingent on fiscal policy operating in two fiscal regimes. The first regime is characterized by active policy (not reacting to debt) and the other by passive fiscal policy (reacting to debt). The average duration for which either regime can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846884
We simulate the fiscal stimulus packages set up by the German government to allevi-ate the costs of the COVID-19 pandemic in a dynamic New Keynesian multi-sectorgeneral equilibrium model. We find that, cumulated over 2020-2022, output lossesrelative to steady state can be reduced by more than 4...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671256
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370765
We simulate the fiscal stimulus packages set up by the German government to alleviate the costs of the COVID-19 pandemic in a dynamic New Keynesian multi-sector general equilibrium model. We find that, cumulated over 2020-2022, output losses relative to steady state can be reduced by more than 4...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310308
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438446
This paper employs fifteen dynamic macroeconomic models maintained within the European System of Central Banks to assess the size of fiscal multipliers in European countries. Using a set of common simulations, we consider transitory and permanent shocks to government expenditures and different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506798