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the financial industry, as well as Brent crude oil prices, to estimate a two-stage GARCH (1,1) to capture the effects of … temporal dependence in oil prices volatility on financial industry firms’ returns. The GARCH model is complemented by Granger …
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the GARCH model, which explains the current financial and political distress for the case of shocks from COVID-19. We …
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We introduce SRISK to measure the systemic risk contribution of a financial firm. SRISK measures the capital shortfall of a firm conditional on a severe market decline, and is a function of its size, leverage and risk. We use the measure to study top US financial institutions in the recent...
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We provide a methodology to disentangle the long-run relation between variables from their own dynamics. Macroeconomic and aggregate financial series have a high degree of inertia. If this persistence is not properly accounted for, spurious correlations will give rise to paradoxes. Our procedure...
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