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We propose a methodology for measuring the market-implied capital of banks by subtracting from the market value of equity (market capitalization) a credit-spread-based correction for the value of shareholders' default option. We show that without such a correction, the estimated impact of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168743
This paper presents an approach to a macroprudential stress test for the euro area banking system, comprising the 91 largest euro area credit institutions across 19 countries. The approach involves modelling banks'reactions to changing economic conditions. It also examines the effects of adverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033284
In the post-WWII (since the 1950s), there have been over 400 banking, currency, and sovereign debt crises, which translates to about 10 crises per annum; furthermore, the combined cost of the last five crises since the late 1990s is in excess of $30 trillion, but when the cost of the COVID-19...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305610
This paper examines the relationship between systemic risk measures across 546 financial institutions in major petroleum-based economies and oil movements. In this paper, we follow two steps. In the first step, we estimate the delta conditional VaR (CoVaR) for the financial institutions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662132
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815680
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009562144
This paper extends the approach of measuring and stress-testing the systemic risk of a banking sector in Huang, Zhou, and Zhu (2009) to identifying various sources of financial instability and to allocating systemic risk to individual financial institutions. The systemic risk measure, defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134436
As a form of negative externality, a natural economic response to systemic risk is to look to taxation to correct it. However, we argue in this paper that the problem of systemic risk is not a standard externality problem. First, a 'polluter pays' approach is inapplicable because the polluter is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036133
The market-based SRISK measure introduced in Brownlees and Engle (2015) is used to measure the level of systemic risk in Danish banks for the period 2005-15. We find that SRISK was a very good predictor of which banks that needed public capital injections during the financial crisis of 2007-09....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439967
This paper examines the relationship between oil price movements and systemic risk of many financial institutions in major petroleum-based economies. We estimate ΔCoVaR for those institutions and thereby observe the presence of elevated increases in the levels corresponding to the subprime and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062097