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This study examines CEOs and CFOs who have prior work experience as equity research analysts. Consistent with backgrounds in forecasting and M&A evaluation, we find these executives provide earnings outlooks that are more accurate than those of other executives, and their M&A transactions...
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Our paper examines the association between components of analysts' earnings surprises and future earnings. We decompose the analysts' earnings surprise into its revenue, pretax margin, pretax income, and tax components. After controlling for current period earnings and discretionary accruals, we...
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We analyze three different mechanical models to forecast earnings and compare their forecasts with those of analysts. Moreover, we evaluate implied cost of capital (ICC) estimates that are based on these forecasts. With our analyses we answer three open questions in the literature. 1) Do model...
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Based on Graham et al.’s (2005) survey, CFOs believe financial performance impacts the credibility of their forecasts. We examine this link by testing whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) of firms meeting/beating analysts’ forecast benchmarks exhibit greater credibility than MEFs of...
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