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This paper estimates the impact of fiscal consolidation on unemployment and job market flows across EU countries using a recent database of consolidation episodes built on the basis of a 'narrative' approach (Devries et al., 2011). Results show that the impact of fiscal consolidation on cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331981
This study provides empirical evidence that the costs of austerity crucially depend on the level of private indebtedness. In particular, fiscal consolidations lead to severe contractions when implemented in high private debt states. Contrary, fiscal consolidations have no significant effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011560377
We analyze the non-linear effects of government spending for the Euro area in recession, by using local projection method and by testing whether the impact of the shock depends crucially on the levels of public debt or the depth of the recession. We provide three insights. First, expenditure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294331
This paper assesses the relationship between public and private wages in the EU, as measured by general government and manufacturing compensations, respectively. We find that the long-run relation between the two is stronger when the government is a large employer. Manufacturing compensations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011991905
Die Debatte um Konsolidierung im Euroraum wird von der Frage dominiert, ob Konsolidierung dem Wachstum schadet. Der Beitrag gibt einen kurzen Überblick zum Diskussionsstand über die Zusammenhänge zwischen Konsolidierung und Wachstum. Darüber hinaus werden gängige Forderungen analysiert, die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464598
Brazil's fiscal adjustment since the floating of the real in 1999 has been impressive, even in periods of lacklustre growth. This suggests a remarkable fiscal effort to ensure public debt sustainability. To better gauge the magnitude of this adjustment effort, this paper applies the methodology...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444388
Over the next decades, many OECD countries are anticipating large increases in public spending as a result of population ageing and other long-term structural trends. The need to put public finances on a sustainable footing is widely recognised, but progress has been uneven and slow. Some policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445447
Fiscal consolidation has become an important policy prescription for many emerging market countries (EMCs), particularly for the highly indebted ones. Although prudent fiscal policies tend to reduce vulnerabilities, their implementation is usually postponed. This paper represents, to the best of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779074
Fiscal rules enhance the credibility of economic policy, allow countercyclical and sustainable fiscal policies, and contribute to macroeconomic stability and economic growth. The Colombian government has used fiscal rules to limit the growth of expenditure and the indebtedness of sub-national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758089
Using a firm-bank panel of more than 1m German firms over 2010-2016, we document that local public bank lending to municipalities crowds out private investment. Our results show how crowding out can happen in a developed economy characterized by low interest rates and fiscal austerity. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796947