Die Debatte um Konsolidierung im Euroraum wird von der Frage dominiert, ob Konsolidierung dem Wachstum schadet. Der Beitrag gibt einen kurzen Überblick zum Diskussionsstand über die Zusammenhänge zwischen Konsolidierung und Wachstum. Darüber hinaus werden gängige Forderungen analysiert, die...

In this paper we investigate the possible effects of fiscal tightening in Hungary from two perspectives. First, simulations in an estimated neo-Keynesian model are used to characterise the effects of different scenarios for fiscal consolidations. We show that the composition of fiscal shocks is...

Das Konzept der Finanzierungssalden impliziert, dass das Finanzierungsdefizit des Staates nur verringert werden kann, wenn sich gleichzeitig der Unternehmenssektor und das Ausland stärker verschulden oder die privaten Haushalte ihren Überschuss verringern. Dieses Working Paper untersucht, wie...

Die Debatte um Konsolidierung im Euroraum wird von der Frage dominiert, ob Konsolidierung dem Wachstum schadet. Der Beitrag gibt einen kurzen Überblick zum Diskussionsstand über die Zusammenhänge zwischen Konsolidierung und Wachstum. Darüber hinaus werden gängige Forderungen analysiert, die...

Using an estimated DSGE model for Hungary, the paper identifies the possible non-Keynesian channels through which a fiscal consolidation may manifest as expansionary. Simulations show that fiscal consolidation policies are typically contractionary. Nevertheless, taking into account some specific...

This policy brief reexamines the effects of the Greek austerity experiment on its economy via a counterfactual analysis. We combine the fiscal multipliers from the meta regression analysis in Gechert and Rannenberg (2014) to the fiscal consolidation measures that have been implemented in Greece...

This paper explores the political economy of fiscal adjustment. It begins with an examination of the evidence for, and sources of, ‘deficit bias', including political and governance factors, public attitudes, the role of financial markets and imprecision about which debt targets should be...

This paper develops a medium-scale dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium (DSGE) model for fiscal policy simulations. Relative to existing models of this type, our model incorporates two important features. First, we consider a two-country monetary union structure, which makes it well suited...

The output effects of 2009 fiscal expansions have been hotly debated. But the discussion of fiscal multipliers is even more relevant now that several European countries have had to quickly retract their stimulus measures in an effort to regain market confidence. Using regime-switching VARs we...

Implementation of fiscal consolidation by advanced economies in coming years needs to take into account the short and long-run interactions between economic growth and fiscal policy. Many countries must reduce high public debt to GDP ratios that penalize longterm growth. However, fiscal...