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Political economy theory expects that changes in macroeconomic governance are often catalyzed by institutional factors, such as partisanship, elections, or IMF conditionality. I challenge and contextualize this view by incorporating the role of technocratic advisors into a domestic policymaking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006177
This paper analyzes recent macroeconomic developments in the eurozone, particularly in Germany. Several economic indicators are sending signals of a looming German recession. Geopolitical tensions caused by trade disputes between the United States and China, plus the risk of a disorderly Brexit,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165421
The past several years of recession and slow recovery have raised much interest on the effect of fiscal stimulus on economic activity, even as high public debts in many countries would call for fiscal consolidation. To evaluate the delicate balance between stimulus and consolidation requires...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080225
Notwithstanding the repeated efforts of the European Authorities to harmonize and coordinate countries’ taxation, and in spite of the effects of international tax competition, in 2009 EA taxation was still far from being homogeneous among Member Countries. Given this situation, the purpose of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261125
There is evidence in the literature of fiscal consolidation episodes producing (non-Keynesian) expansionary effects (e.g. Alesina and Ardagna, 1998). We replicate this result for a panel of OECD countries under exogeneity of the fiscal tightening decision, and provide evidence that this decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008870938
A number of institutional and non-institutional factors, not only economically rational but also political and historical, have risen in the long after war debate about the public sector’s expansion, size and structure. Obvious inefficiencies, mounting resistance to further increases of tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010854575
The debate on fiscal consolidation is dominated by controversies about the negative impact of consolidation on growth. This contribution shortly summarizes the discussion about links between fiscal consolidation and growth. In addition, common advice that is derived from arguments about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128168
While linkages between some macroeconomic phenomena (e.g. unemployment, GDP growth) and suicide rates in some countries have been explored, only one study, hitherto, has established a causal relationship between fiscal consolidation and suicide, albeit in a single country. This study examines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112875
Following the financial crisis, many countries introduced fiscal stimulus packages making budget consolidations in the future rather challenging. Using a data set for 28 OECD countries spanning the period 1978–2007, we contribute to the literature on success probabilities of consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577658
While linkages between some macroeconomic phenomena (e.g. unemployment, GDP growth) and suicide rates in some countries have been explored, only one study, hitherto, has established a causal relationship between fiscal consolidation and suicide, albeit in a single country. This study examines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010949384