Motivating with two scenarios in which the government spending in China timely reacted to output shock within a quarter, this letter points out a downward bias in the estimation of Chinese government spending multiplier using the classical lag restriction for shock identification in a quarterly...

This paper aims to test some implications of the Fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL). We develop a model similar to Leeper (1991) and Woodford (1996), but extended so to generate real effects of fiscal policy also in the Ricardian regime, via an OLG demographic structure. We test on the data...

A fiscal shock due to a shift in taxes or in government spending will, at some point in time, constrain the future path of taxes and spending, since the government’s intertemporal budget constraint will eventually have to be met. This simple fact is surprisingly overlooked in analyses of the...