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This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using … cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the … econometric results indicate that government spending, money supply growth, global inflation, and exchange rate pass-through play …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142009
To investigate the effects on Papua New Guinea’s economy of substantial liquified natural gas revenues arriving in 2015, we employ a model to examine the macroeconomic effects of a scalingup of natural resource windfall revenues and the implications for a variety of policy responses. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242363
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
. Inflation is constraining the room for monetary policy easing. Banks’ capital ratios have fallen slightly, but asset quality … structural reforms, fiscal consolidation, and low inflation are critical for a sustained recovery. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242869
We develop a tractable open-economy new-Keynesian model with two sectors to analyze the short-term effects of aid-financed fiscal expansions. We distinguish between spending the aid, which is under the control of the fiscal authorities, and absorbing the aid-using the aid to finance a higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470400
Against the backdrop of generally sound policies and abundant natural resources, Lao P.D.R. has made impressive progress in developing its economy and reducing poverty. The key challenge going forward is to ensure that economic policy frameworks stay ahead of the curve to achieve sustainable and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245701
Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, we embed a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of a (speculative) storage demand shock and to assess how the effects of various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242253
bolstering the economy’s resilience to shocks and fostering productivity growth. Inflation is a priority and monetary policy … cannot fight inflation alone; concerted efforts on other fronts are also necessary. Near-term fiscal policy could better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245272
The paper discusses the economic developments and policies in Sri Lanka in recent years. Substantial adjustments in energy prices and operational and financial reforms have helped to improve the performance of state owned enterprises (SOEs) and have reduced the burden on the budget and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245489
This paper uses two of the IMF’s DSGE models to simulate the benefits of international fiscal and macroprudential policy coordination. The key argument is that these two policies are similar in that, unlike monetary policy, they have long-run effects on the level of GDP that need to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142005