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This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using … cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the … econometric results indicate that government spending, money supply growth, global inflation, and exchange rate pass-through play …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142009
This note explores how the economic thinking about macroeconomic management has evolved since the crisis began. It discusses developments in monetary policy, including unconventional measures; the challenges associated with increased public debt; and the policy potential, risks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245877
To investigate the effects on Papua New Guinea’s economy of substantial liquified natural gas revenues arriving in 2015, we employ a model to examine the macroeconomic effects of a scalingup of natural resource windfall revenues and the implications for a variety of policy responses. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242363
We develop a tractable open-economy new-Keynesian model with two sectors to analyze the short-term effects of aid-financed fiscal expansions. We distinguish between spending the aid, which is under the control of the fiscal authorities, and absorbing the aid-using the aid to finance a higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470400
view of inflation. Second, we discuss how the recent inflationary episode has contributed to redistributing real resources …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014634111
Against the backdrop of generally sound policies and abundant natural resources, Lao P.D.R. has made impressive progress in developing its economy and reducing poverty. The key challenge going forward is to ensure that economic policy frameworks stay ahead of the curve to achieve sustainable and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245701
This paper uses two of the IMF’s DSGE models to simulate the benefits of international fiscal and macroprudential policy coordination. The key argument is that these two policies are similar in that, unlike monetary policy, they have long-run effects on the level of GDP that need to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142005
aftermath of the global crisis with low inflation; but for further stable growth, certain policy frameworks and reforms need to … be reinforced. The fiscal stance should be made tighter to mitigate risks of inflation and external imbalances. Interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243920
inflation remains high (21 percent at end-2011/12), real GDP growth, which is estimated at around 7 percent in 2011/12 and is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243875
. Inflation is constraining the room for monetary policy easing. Banks’ capital ratios have fallen slightly, but asset quality … structural reforms, fiscal consolidation, and low inflation are critical for a sustained recovery. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242869