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Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal … microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013271201
recession of 2008-2009, to think about whether the US is headed for a fiscal inflation, and what that inflation will look like …. I emphasize that a fiscal inflation can come well before large deficits or monetization are realized, and is likely to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116066
accumulated debt, but surpluses do not respond to arbitrary unexpected inflation and deflation, so fiscal policy remains active …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842421
welfare when alternative instruments are unavailable. Higher in inflation targets instead allow for negative real interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591689
debt matters. For example, it determines whether news of future deficits implies current inflation or future inflation …. When long-term debt is present, the government can trade current inflation for future inflation by debt operations; this … variance of inflation. I find cases in which long-term debt helps to stabilize inflation, and I find that the optimal inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014147212
This study revisits and tests empirically the Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI), which analyzes how the effectiveness … (Bossone, The portfolio theory of inflation and policy (in)effectiveness, 2019). The PTI shows that when an economy is heavily … and policies aimed to stimulate output growth dissipate into domestic currency depreciation and higher inflation, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140238
We develop the theory of price-level determination in a range of models using both ad hoc policy rules and jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policies and discuss empirical issues that arise when trying to identify monetary–fiscal regime. The chapter concludes with directions in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024282
welfare when alternative instruments are unavailable. Higher in inflation targets instead allow for negative real interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695564
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. consumers, we study how the large one-time transfers to individuals from the CARES Act affected their consumption, saving and labor supply decisions. Most respondents report that they primarily saved or paid down debts with their transfers, with only about 15...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266918
different policy regimes considered. In particular: (i) both in the long run and in short run equilibrium, a greater inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343848