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Germany and the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia (the CE4) have been in a process of deepening economic integration which has lead to the development of a dynamic supply chain within Europe — the Germany-Central European Supply Chain (GCESC). Model-based simulations suggest two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073772
Purpose - A spectre is hunting embryonic African monetary zones: the EMU crisis. This paper assesses real, monetary and fiscal policy convergence within the proposed WAM and EAM zones. The introduction of common currencies in West and East Africa is facing stiff challenges in the timing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410252
We analyze the role of fiscal policy and intra-European trade in business cycle synchronization in the EU for the … differences with respect to the EU and trade specialization within the EU framework. Our results show that both fiscal policy and … adequacy of potential future EMU countries and the need for a broad agreement concerning fiscal policy at the EU level. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392349
This paper identifies and measures fiscal spillovers in the EU countries empirically, using a structurally stable … global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. For our purposes, the individual EU countries, as well as the most important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011581983
Five EU Presidents presented in 2015 is far from sufficient to reduce the risks of the Euro zone falling apart by Brexit … type developments or new economic shocks. The EU Presidents rely too much on high international economic growth smoothing … the convergence in labor productivity between EU member states, while the more likely low growth scenario shows a serious …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582732
correlation in the period 1996-2012 using a panel of 27 EU countries. The paper pays special attention to Central and Eastern … dissimilarity upon business cycle correlation in the EU. The paper also provides some evidence for the significance of intra …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429842
This research note discusses the Euro crisis in Greece in light of the referendum of July the 5th. It lays out the social and political costs of a GREXIT, but also of a continuing austerity policy. It proposes a reform policy fostering growth in Greece and discusses the role of conditionality....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308548
the question of whether policies in the EU should head towards autonomy, coordination or harmonization. Taking the path … currency in the EU as a result of deep harmonization in the monetary policy area is an unambiguous precedent with many … free ride and strengthen joint responsibility for the fiscal development of public finances in the EU. In addition to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339150
In this research project, we attempt to examine the behavior of business cycles in Asia in order to deepen our understanding of and expand research on this topic. Given the importance of the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the United States in the region economy, we use these three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281409
Along time the European Union (EU) has been pointed as the most succeeded example of regional integration. Now, this … solution, and the recurrent EU proclamations of "policies to restore European growth", the crisis in the EZ looks more and more … credibility of the EU integration process and will inevitably impact on the spreading of the integration model to other regions of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515832