Showing 1 - 10 of 2,432
We analyze the role of fiscal policy and intra-European trade in business cycle synchronization in the EU for the … between trade integration and cyclical synchronization are subject to endogeneity problems. We instrument fiscal budget … trade integration are important determinants of cyclical synchronization. We can conclude that once a high degree of trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392349
All types of recessions, on average, not just those associated with financial and political crises (as in Cerra and Saxena, AER 2008), lead to permanent output losses. These findings have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. A new paradigm of the business cycle needs to account for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928622
The role of demand management policy is considered in a two-sector open economy model with price-taking firms and imperfect competition in the labor market. Demand management policies are shown to affect the equilibrium distribution of prices and hence output in the case of both supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223672
This paper introduces Heckscher-Ohlin trade features into a two-country DSGE model, and studies how productivity shocks propagate through trade in goods. In comparison with standard models, (i) transitory shocks to productivity have permanent effects on country-level aggregate variables; (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113462
The paper examines the effects of asymmetries in fiscal policy conduct upon the correlation of business cycles in the European Union. In particular the paper estimates the effects of fiscal indiscipline and dissimilarity on business cycle correlation in the period 1996-2012 using a panel of 27...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429842
the determinants of business cycle synchronization is also provided. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583550
This paper examines the policy challenges a country faces when it wants to both reduce inflation and maintain a sustainable external position. Mundell's (1962) policy assignment framework suggests that these two goals may be mutually incompatible unless monetary and fiscal policies are properly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955173
The problem is to evaluate the likelihood that a country will face a currency or balance of payments crisis over a given horizon. When is it rational for market participants to expect a depreciation of the currency? On the basis of considerable empirical studies we know that in both banking and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320946
This paper proposes an approach to macroeconomic policy which equips the authorities in small, open, financially-integrated economies (SOFIEs) to target the exchange rate by influencing the volumes of trade in goods and services to achieve equilibrium at the target rate. This is achieved by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915820
This paper evaluates optimal public investment and fiscal policy for countries characterized by limited tax and debt capacities. We study a non stochastic CRS endogenous growth model where public expenditure is an input in the production process, in countries where distortions and limited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003854944