This paper studies whether the fiscal stimulus programs during the 2020-2021 COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the sharp rise in house prices during the same period. Exploiting the variation in the share of local population eligible for the historic $900 billion economic impact payments and...

The paper analyses the effectiveness of fiscal tools at the zero lower bound (ZLB). A non-linear New Keynesian DSGE model with occasionally binding constraints on monetary policy and borrowing is applied. When the ZLB binds in a liquidity trap, government spending becomes more effective in...

The paper analyses the effectiveness of fiscal tools at the zero lower bound (ZLB). A non-linear New Keynesian DSGE model with occasionally binding constraints on monetary policy and borrowing is applied. When the ZLB binds in a liquidity trap, government spending becomes more effective in...

This paper analyses two factors which may cause cyclically-adjusted budget balances to give a misleading picture of underlying fiscal trends. It first explores the implications of recent large asset-market related fluctuations in government revenues for the measurement of structural budget...

This paper develops an estimated New Keynesian model of a commodity-exporting economy for an integrated policy framework, integrating the full range of policies used in practice and featuring a range of nominal and real rigidities, macro-financial linkages, and transmission channels of external...

We analyse the interaction between monetary and macroprudential policies in the euro area by means of a two-country DSGE model with financial frictions and cross-border spillover effects. We calibrate the model for the four largest euro area countries (i.e. Germany, France, Italy, and Spain),...

All types of recessions, on average, not just those associated with financial and political crises (as in Cerra and Saxena, AER 2008), lead to permanent output losses. These findings have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. A new paradigm of the business cycle needs to account for...

This paper develops an estimated New Keynesian model of a commodity-exporting economy for an integrated policy framework, integrating the full range of policies used in practice and featuring a range of nominal and real rigidities, macro-financial linkages, and transmission channels of external...

In this study, we apply a stationarity test with a flexible Fourier function proposed by Enders and Lee (2012) to test the stationarity of the deficit–GDP ratio in China. We find that our approximation has a higher power to detect U-shaped breaks and to smooth breaks than the linear method if...

The present paper assesses the impact of fiscal policy on residential investment in France. The analysis is conducted in the framework of a VECM, since this allows accounting for endogeneity between the variables. Our results imply that a long term relationship between investment and subsidies...