A model is developed to forecast the food price component of the consumer price index published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The'model relates retail food prices to prices received by farmers and to wage rates in food marketing industries. The farm value and farm-retail spread of the...

The status of food security in Uganda is worrying. The share of Ugandans suffering from food insecurity measured in terms of caloric intake is alarmingly high with low rates of income poverty. Based on the 2005/06 Uganda National Household Survey data, the study provides insights into access to...

Presentation to USDA Economists Group, Washington, DC, 10 June 2008

The authors propose six questions relevant to the evaluation of all social system models, and apply them to the Barr-Gale model for forecasting the Consumer Price Index for Food. While analysts invest much effort in developing new economic models, relatively little attention is paid to...