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In this paper, we perform a statistical analysis of the forecasting properties of Norges Bank's macroeconomic forecasts in the period 1998 - 2019. As a part of the analysis we assess Norges Bank's forecasts against similar forecasts by Statistics Norway and forecasts from simple models. The...
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forecasts ; directional forecast value ; forecast evaluation ; economic forecast value ; mean squared forecast error ; mean …
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We evaluate different approaches for using monthly indicators to predict Chinese GDP for the current and the next quarter ('nowcasts' and 'forecasts' respectively). We use three types of mixed-frequency models, one based on an economic activity indicator (Liu et al., 2007), one based on...
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