prognozavimas 24 mėn. į priekį, t.y. iki 2010 m. gruodžio mėn. Darbe pateikti gauti rezultatai ir išvados. Taip pat atliktas …

forecasting.2... [to full text] …

vector error correction (VEC) model imposing the cointegration restriction was then developed for the purpose of forecasting … outperforms the Box-Jenkins and regression models, and is proven to be efficient and reliable in forecasting the short- to medium …

This paper seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at … forecasting techniques are able to outperform the random walk at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average the Exponential … forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this paper are able to outperform the Bayesian …

, with parametric VAR modelling is conducted on the euro area GDP. Using both methods for nowcasting and forecasting the GDP …