This paper aims at identifying which countries and regions in the world might face structural overcapacities or capacity shortfalls in the automobile industry in the near future. It discusses the main forces that are likely to shape car demand over the next several years, including GDP growth,...

This paper documents the suite of models used by Norges Bank to estimate the output gap. The models are estimated using data on GDP, unemployment, inflation, wages, investment, house prices and credit. We evaluate the estimated output gap series in terms of its forecasting properties, its...

Epidemiologische Analysen aus der Zeit der großflächigen Eindämmungsmaßnahmen von März bis April zeigen, dass sich das neuartige Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) in Deutschland bereits früh deutlich abgeschwächt verbreitet. Auffällig ist die im internationalen Vergleich geringe Zahl der...