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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001699125
The Contributions to Economic Analysis series consists of a number of previously unpublished studies. The term economic analysis is used because it covers the activities of the theoretical economist and the research worker
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009633078
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003960292
Beschäftigung eines Landes regelmäßig und regelhaft aufgezeigt werden. Die Berechnungen zeigen erstmalig für Deutschland den … Beschäftigung eines Landes regelmäßig und regelhaft aufgezeigt werden. Die Berechnungen zeigen erstmalig für Deutschland den …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674955
This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. This structural macroeconometric model features extensive linkages between the real and financial sectors, both within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677496
This study examines, diagnoses, and assesses appropriate macroeconomic policy responses of the Montenegrin Government to the outbreak of COVID-19. The model econometrically measures the macroeconomic costs using a Bayesian VARX Litterman/ Minessota prior to the pandemic disease in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317590
We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany … unterschiedlicher Finanzmarktindikatoren, um die Industrieproduktion in Deutschland vorherzusagen. Die Prognoseeigenschaften, innerhalb …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149544
In this paper we evaluate the forecasting performance of employment expectations for employment growth in 15 European states. Our data cover the period from the first quarter 1998 to the fourth quarter 2012. With in-sample analyses and pseudo out-of-sample exercises, we find that for most of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361708
regional labour markets in Germany. The predictive content of the spatially interdependent variables is compared with the … labour-market data in simulated forecasts at different horizons and for several periods. Germany turns out to have no … unterschiedlichen Horizonten untersucht. Die Existenz einer alle anderen bestimmenden Region wird für Deutschland abgelehnt (was die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500645
In diesem Papier evaluieren wir für 15 europäische Staaten, inwiefern Beschäftigungserwartungen die Prognosegüte des Erwerbstätigenwachstums verbessert. Unser Beobachtungszeitraum beginnt mit dem ersten Quartal 1998 und endet mit dem vierten Quartal 2014. Mit In-Sample- und...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387721